Dr. Meagan Carney

Senior Lecturer in Mathematics — University of Queensland
m.carney@uq.edu.au Building 69, Room 709, UQ St Lucia, QLD 4072, Australia ORCID: 0000-0003-0850-0766 meagancarney.github.io
Last updated March 2026

Education

2019

Ph.D. in Mathematics

University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA
Advisor: Professor Matthew Nicol
Thesis: Statistical properties of chaotic dynamical systems through extremes and recurrence.
Prior

Undergraduate & Honours Studies

Mathematics (details on request)

Academic Positions

2021 – Present

Senior Lecturer in Mathematics Current

School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Queensland
2021 – Present

Affiliate Senior Lecturer Current

School of Chemistry and Molecular Biosciences, University of Queensland
2019 – 2021

Postdoctoral Researcher

Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden, Germany
Supervisor: Professor Holger Kantz

Research Interests

Extreme Value Theory Chaotic Dynamical Systems Rare Event Analysis Extreme Weather Events Statistical Climatology Machine Learning Infectious Disease Modelling Host Transcriptomics Biomedical Data Analysis Ergodic Theory Nonstationary Extremes Complex Systems

Grants & Funding

2026 – 2028

Mathematics of Extremes in Random Dynamics for Catastrophic Event Risk Active

ARC Discovery Project (UNSW administered)
2024 – 2027

Glycaemic Variability: A Culprit Cause of Heart Disease in Diabetes Active

MRFF Targeted Translation Research Accelerator
2024 – 2026

ALL IN — AI and Laboratory Led Identification of PASC Active

NHMRC MRFF Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19
2025

MATRIX Workshop Support Funding

MATRIX Institute, Australia
Workshop: Extreme Value Theory and Applications, 2025.
2023

MRFF — ALLIN Project Funding

Medical Research Future Fund (MRFF), Australia
Machine learning for long COVID and infectious disease outcomes.
2023

MRFF — Glycaemic Variability Project Funding

Medical Research Future Fund (MRFF), Australia
Analysis of glycaemic variability and viral immune response using extreme event methods.

Publications

Full list available at meagancarney.github.io/publications.html and on UQ eSpace. Selected highlights below.

Selected Journal Articles

2025

Modeling multiday extreme precipitation across eastern Australia: a dynamical perspective

Kardkasem, R. & Carney, M.
Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 32(2), 603–621
2025

Measurement of serum 1,5-AG provides insights for diabetes management and the anti-viral immune response

Wei, M. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Cellular and Molecular Life Sciences, 82(1), 71
2024

Host transcriptomics and machine learning for secondary bacterial infections in patients with COVID-19: a prospective, observational cohort study

Carney, M. et al.
The Lancet Microbe, 5(3), e272–e281
2024

Post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 cardiovascular symptoms are associated with trace-level cytokines that affect cardiomyocyte function

Sinclair, J.E. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Nature Microbiology, 9(12), 3135–3147
2024

Runs of extremes of observables on dynamical systems and applications

Carney, M., Holland, M., Nicol, M. & Tran, P.
Physica D, 460, 134093
2024

An analytical, numerical and experimental study of in-vitro SARS-CoV-2 evolution in Vero B4 cells

Nicol, M. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 598, 112000
2023

Blood transcriptome responses in patients correlate with severity of COVID-19 disease

Wang, Y. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Frontiers in Immunology, 13, 1043219
2023

Elevated BMI reduces the humoral response to SARS‑CoV‑2 infection

Tong, M.Z.W. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Clinical and Translational Immunology, 12(12), e1476
2022

Hurricane simulation and nonstationary extremal analysis for a changing climate

Carney, M., Kantz, H. & Nicol, M.
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 61(11), 1629–1642
2021

Extremes and extremal indices for level set observables on hyperbolic systems

Carney, M., Holland, M. & Nicol, M.
Nonlinearity, 34(2), 1136–1167
2020

Robust regional clustering and modeling of nonstationary summer temperature extremes across Germany

Carney, M. & Kantz, H.
Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 6(1), 61–77
2020

Nonstationarity of summer temperature extremes in Texas

Carney, M., Azencott, R. & Nicol, M.
International Journal of Climatology, 40(1), 620–640
2017

Compound Poisson Law for Hitting Times to Periodic Orbits in Two-Dimensional Hyperbolic Systems

Carney, M., Nicol, M. & Zhang, H.-K.
Journal of Statistical Physics, 169(4), 804–823
2017

Dynamical Borel–Cantelli lemmas and rates of growth of Birkhoff sums of non-integrable observables on chaotic dynamical systems

Carney, M. & Nicol, M.
Nonlinearity, 30(7), 2854–2870

Book Chapters & Conference Publications

2020

Analysis and simulation of extremes and rare events in complex systems

Carney, M., Kantz, H. & Nicol, M.
Advances in Dynamics, Optimization and Computation (SON 2020). Springer, Cham.

Teaching

Current

MATH 3403 — Partial Differential Equations

School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Current

MATH 3201 / MATH 7321 — Scientific Computing

School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Special Topics

Extreme Value Theory

School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Advanced course covering theoretical foundations and applied methods in EVT.

HDR Supervision

Current Students

Current

Doctor of Philosophy — Extremes and risk assessment in complex systems Active

Principal Advisor. Other advisors: Dr Joe Lane, Dr Kazutoshi Yamazaki
Current

Doctor of Philosophy — Rare Event Analysis and Machine Learning Applications to Infectious Disease Active

Principal Advisor. Other advisors: Professor Kirsty Short, Dr Keng Chew
Current

Doctor of Philosophy — Statistical Models of Extreme Weather Events in a Changing Climate Active

Principal Advisor
Current

Doctor of Philosophy — Improved diagnostics for respiratory viral infections Active

Associate Advisor. Other advisors: A/Prof. Arutha Kulasinghe, Prof. Kirsty Short
Current

Doctor of Philosophy — Global stability of chaotic random dynamical systems Active

Associate Advisor. Other advisors: Professor Cecilia Gonzalez Tokman
Current

Doctor of Philosophy — Random Dynamical Systems, Transfer Operators and Stability Active

Associate Advisor. Other advisors: Professor Cecilia Gonzalez Tokman

Completed & Other Supervision

Graduated

4 Completed Students

University of Queensland
2022

AMSI Summer School Supervisor

Australian Mathematical Sciences Institute

Service & Leadership

University & School

2022 – Present

UQ Integrity Officer for Mathematics Active

School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Ongoing

SMP Integrity Board Member

School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Ongoing

Mathematics Academic Supervisor

SMP Summer Industry Internship Program, UQ

Community & Diversity

2025

Chair, Tri-University Women in Mathematics Day

University of Queensland

Conference Organisation

2025

Organiser, MATRIX Workshop on Extreme Value Theory

MATRIX Institute, Australia
2023

Co-organiser & Webmaster, ANZIAM 2023 Conference

Cairns, Queensland, Australia

Peer Review

Ongoing

Reviewer

Multiple international journals and funding agencies
Journals include those in applied mathematics, statistical climatology, and biomedical data science.

Talks & Presentations

2024

TEDxUQ — Using machine learning to advance medical diagnosis Invited

University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia. December 2024.
2024

UQ Climate Conversations Invited

University of Queensland
2023

BrisScience: Science Comedy Spectacular!

The Edge, South Bank, Brisbane. 6 November 2023.
International

15+ Conference Presentations

International venues
  • Marseille, France
  • San Francisco, CA, USA
  • Vancouver, BC, Canada
  • Vienna, Austria
  • Additional international colloquia and workshops

Media & Outreach

2024

Women in Science Podcast

Hosted by Dr. Kirsty Short, University of Queensland. 17 September 2024.
Available on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.
Ongoing

Anomalous Almanac (Blog) Active

anomalousalmanac.wordpress.com
Public-facing blog exploring unusual and extreme weather phenomena through the lens of mathematics and data science.