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Journal Articles

2025

Modeling multiday extreme precipitation across eastern Australia: a dynamical perspective
Kardkasem, R. & Carney, M.
Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 32(2), 603–621
2025
Measurement of serum 1,5-AG provides insights for diabetes management and the anti-viral immune response
Wei, M. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Cellular and Molecular Life Sciences, 82(1), 71
2025

2024

Host transcriptomics and machine learning for secondary bacterial infections in patients with COVID-19: a prospective, observational cohort study
Carney, M. et al.
The Lancet Microbe, 5(3), e272–e281
2024
Runs of extremes of observables on dynamical systems and applications
Carney, M., Holland, M., Nicol, M. & Tran, P.
Physica D, 460, 134093
2024
Post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 cardiovascular symptoms are associated with trace-level cytokines that affect cardiomyocyte function
Sinclair, J.E. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Nature Microbiology, 9(12), 3135–3147
2024
An analytical, numerical and experimental study of in-vitro SARS-CoV-2 evolution in Vero B4 cells
Nicol, M. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 598, 112000
2024

2023

Blood transcriptome responses in patients correlate with severity of COVID-19 disease
Wang, Y. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Frontiers in Immunology, 13, 1043219
2023
Elevated BMI reduces the humoral response to SARS‑CoV‑2 infection
Tong, M.Z.W. et al. (incl. Carney, M.)
Clinical and Translational Immunology, 12(12), e1476
2023

2022

Hurricane simulation and nonstationary extremal analysis for a changing climate
Carney, M., Kantz, H. & Nicol, M.
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 61(11), 1629–1642
2022

2021

Extremes and extremal indices for level set observables on hyperbolic systems
Carney, M., Holland, M. & Nicol, M.
Nonlinearity, 34(2), 1136–1167
2021

2020

Robust regional clustering and modeling of nonstationary summer temperature extremes across Germany
Carney, M. & Kantz, H.
Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 6(1), 61–77
2020
Nonstationarity of summer temperature extremes in Texas
Carney, M., Azencott, R. & Nicol, M.
International Journal of Climatology, 40(1), 620–640
2020

2017

Compound Poisson Law for Hitting Times to Periodic Orbits in Two-Dimensional Hyperbolic Systems
Carney, M., Nicol, M. & Zhang, H.-K.
Journal of Statistical Physics, 169(4), 804–823
2017
Dynamical Borel–Cantelli lemmas and rates of growth of Birkhoff sums of non-integrable observables on chaotic dynamical systems
Carney, M. & Nicol, M.
Nonlinearity, 30(7), 2854–2870
2017

Book Chapters & Conference Publications

Analysis and simulation of extremes and rare events in complex systems
Carney, M., Kantz, H. & Nicol, M.
Advances in Dynamics, Optimization and Computation (SON 2020). Springer, Cham.
2020

Preprints

Sources and sinks of rare trajectories in 2-dimensional velocity fields
Carney, M. et al.
Preprint
2020

Data Collections

Supporting data and code for successive Fréchet extremal modelling
Supporting data for accessible neural networks to predict weekly cases in the measles outbreak
Supporting code for measurement of serum 1,5AG