Last updated March 2026
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Education
2019
Ph.D. in Mathematics
University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA
Advisor: Professor Matthew Nicol
Thesis: Statistical properties of chaotic dynamical systems through extremes and recurrence.
Academic Positions
2021 – Present
Senior Lecturer in Mathematics Current
School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Queensland
2021 – Present
Affiliate Senior Lecturer Current
School of Chemistry and Molecular Biosciences, University of Queensland
2019 – 2021
Postdoctoral Researcher
Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden, Germany
Supervisor: Professor Holger Kantz
Research Interests
Extreme Value Theory
Chaotic Dynamical Systems
Rare Event Analysis
Extreme Weather Events
Statistical Climatology
Machine Learning
Infectious Disease Modelling
Host Transcriptomics
Biomedical Data Analysis
Ergodic Theory
Nonstationary Extremes
Complex Systems
Grants & Funding
2025
MATRIX Workshop Support Funding
MATRIX Institute, Australia
Workshop: Extreme Value Theory and Applications, 2025.
2023
MRFF — ALLIN Project Funding
Medical Research Future Fund (MRFF), Australia
Machine learning for long COVID and infectious disease outcomes.
2023
MRFF — Glycaemic Variability Project Funding
Medical Research Future Fund (MRFF), Australia
Analysis of glycaemic variability and viral immune response using extreme event methods.
Ongoing
Flu Lab — Influenza Transmission Risk Active
University of Queensland Short Lab Collaboration
Applying extreme event analysis to influenza transmission risk modelling.
Publications
A full list of peer-reviewed articles, preprints, book chapters, and data collections is available on the
Publications page. Selected highlights are listed below.
Selected Journal Articles
2025
Successive Fréchet extremal modelling
Kardkasem, R. & Carney, M.
Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 1–19
2025
Accessible neural networks to predict weekly cases in the 2025 outbreak of measles in North America
Nicol, M., Carney, M. et al.
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 598, 112000
2024
Host transcriptomics and machine learning for secondary bacterial infections in patients with COVID-19
Carney, M. et al.
The Lancet Microbe, 5(3), e272–e281
2024
Runs of extremes of observables on dynamical systems and applications
Carney, M., Holland, M., Nicol, M. & Tran, P.
Physica D, 460, 134093
2021
Extremes and extremal indices for level set observables on hyperbolic systems
Carney, M., Holland, M. & Nicol, M.
Nonlinearity
2020
Robust regional clustering and modeling of nonstationary summer temperature extremes across Germany
Carney, M. & Kantz, H.
Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography
2019
Nonstationarity of summer temperature extremes in Texas
Carney, M., Kantz, H. & Nicol, M.
International Journal of Climatology
2017
Compound Poisson law for hitting times to periodic orbits in two-dimensional hyperbolic systems
Carney, M., Nicol, M. & Zhang, H.
Journal of Statistical Physics
2017
Dynamical Borel–Cantelli lemmas and rates of growth of Birkhoff sums of non-integrable observables on chaotic dynamical systems
Carney, M. & Nicol, M.
Nonlinearity
Book Chapters
2020
Analysis and simulation of extremes and rare events in complex systems
Carney, M., Kantz, H. & Nicol, M.
Book chapter, 2020
Teaching
Current
MATH 3403 — Partial Differential Equations
School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Current
MATH 3201 / MATH 7321 — Scientific Computing
School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Special Topics
Extreme Value Theory
School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Advanced course covering theoretical foundations and applied methods in EVT.
HDR Supervision
Current Students
Current
6 Active Doctoral & Honours Students Active
University of Queensland
Supervising research across extreme value theory, machine learning, infectious disease modelling, and climate statistics.
Completed Supervision
Graduated
4 Completed Students
University of Queensland
See the Students page for full details of graduated students and their research topics.
2022
AMSI Summer School Supervisor
Australian Mathematical Sciences Institute
Service & Leadership
University & School
2022 – Present
UQ Integrity Officer for Mathematics Active
School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Ongoing
SMP Integrity Board Member
School of Mathematics and Physics, UQ
Ongoing
Mathematics Academic Supervisor
SMP Summer Industry Internship Program, UQ
Community & Diversity
2025
Chair, Tri-University Women in Mathematics Day
University of Queensland
Conference Organisation
2025
Organiser, MATRIX Workshop on Extreme Value Theory
MATRIX Institute, Australia
2023
Co-organiser & Webmaster, ANZIAM 2023 Conference
Cairns, Queensland, Australia
Peer Review
Ongoing
Reviewer
Multiple international journals and funding agencies
Journals include those in applied mathematics, statistical climatology, and biomedical data science.
Talks & Presentations
2024
TEDxUQ Invited
University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
August 2024
2024
UQ Climate Conversations Invited
University of Queensland
International
15+ Conference Presentations
International venues
- Marseille, France
- San Francisco, CA, USA
- Vancouver, BC, Canada
- Vienna, Austria
- Additional international colloquia and workshops
Media & Outreach
2024
TEDxUQ Talk
University of Queensland, August 2024
Public talk on extreme events and mathematics for a general audience.
Ongoing
Anomalous Almanac (Blog) Active
Public-facing blog exploring unusual and extreme weather phenomena through the lens of mathematics and data science.
Ongoing
Media Appearances & Science Communication
University of Queensland
See the Media & Outreach page for full details of podcasts, interviews, and public events.